TAHMIN MODELI GUIDE
How does the horse racing prediction model work?
A past win does not mean a horse will win today. Tahmin Modeli compares runners using available data, showing both rankings and uncertainty rather than focusing on a single outcome.
What data is used for races in Türkiye?
The main inputs include race history, distance and surface suitability, recent form, carried weight, jockey and trainer information. Where available and usable, final-800-metre times and workout records also contribute.
Results from different surfaces and distances are not treated as directly equivalent. Relevance to today's race matters. When data is missing, read the warnings rather than assuming the information is available.
How should model scores be read?
Report scores compare horses within the same race. A score of 100 is not a 100% win probability and cannot be directly compared with a score of 100 in a different race.
Favourites, contenders and outsiders make rankings easier to read. Race risk and field size also matter. Reports with 13 or more runners have a red outer border.
Are the standard model and AGF the same?
AGF is market data showing the distribution of sixfold selections. It is not included in the standard horse racing ranking, allowing historical performance and public preference to be compared separately.
Sixth Sense provides a different assessment and also uses available AGF data. Its rankings can therefore differ from the standard report.
How are international races handled?
Domestic and international programs and horse histories are held in separate databases. The international model covers selected racecourses where horse histories can be verified through TJK, using the last year of history.
The amount of history can differ between international runners. Missing records or inaccessible source pages are not shown as complete data. This is why report warnings matter.
Frequently asked questions
Do predictions guarantee a result?
No. Race conditions, pace, the start and performance variables can affect results. Reports are statistical assessments with no guarantee of results or profit.
Where can I open reports?
After signing in, choose a date and racecourse in Models. Available features depend on your membership level.